The study, led by researchers from Seoul National University and published in the government-funded journal Epidemiology and Health, estimates that 6.08 percent of cancer cases and 5.70 percent of cancer deaths in Korea are attributable to dietary factors. The findings, indexed in PubMed at the U.S. National Library of Medicine, raise fresh questions about the long-term health impact of salt-heavy eating patterns.
Using national health and nutrition survey data and large Korean cohort studies, the research team calculated population-attributable fractions (PAFs) for diet-related cancers between 2015 and 2030.
Korea's diet-attributable cancer incidence exceeds that of the United States (5.2 percent) and France (5.4 percent), though it remains lower than that of the United Kingdom (9.2 percent) and Germany (7.8 percent).
More than 44 percent of diet-related cancer cases were stomach cancers, which also made up over 37 percent of diet-related cancer deaths. The PAFs for diet-related stomach cancer reached 24.61 percent for incidence and 24.27 percent for mortality, suggesting that roughly one in four stomach cancer cases in Korea may be linked to dietary factors.
"The findings quantify how a salt-heavy diet structurally drives the burden of stomach cancer in Korea," the authors wrote.
The dietary impact was notably higher among men than women. For men, 8.43 percent of cancer cases and 7.93 percent of cancer deaths were linked to diet, compared with 3.45 percent and 2.08 percent, respectively, for women. The researchers attributed the gap to higher consumption of salted vegetables, red and processed meat, and lower intake of vegetables and fruit among men.
Salted vegetable consumption has been gradually declining, driven by sodium-reduction policies and changing eating habits. Even so, the study projects that salted vegetables will remain Korea's largest dietary cancer risk factor through 2030, underscoring the need to reduce both portion size and salt content.
The researchers also warned that cutting back on salty foods alone will have limited impact unless accompanied by broader dietary changes. Low intake of non-starchy vegetables and fruit was identified as another major driver of cancer risk.
Koreans consume an average of 340.5 grams of vegetables and fruit per day — well below the internationally recommended range of 490 to 730 grams. The shortfall increases the risk of stomach and colorectal cancers, as well as certain respiratory and digestive cancers. The cancer burden linked to insufficient produce intake is expected to remain largely unchanged through 2030.
Red and processed meat showed relatively low PAFs in Korea — accounting in 2020 for just 0.10 percent and 0.02 percent of cancer cases, respectively — largely because consumption remains lower than in many Western countries. However, the study warned that steadily rising intake since the mid-2000s could raise the PAF for processed meat to 0.08 percent by 2030, amplifying its impact over time.
"Diet-based cancer prevention in Korea must go beyond reducing salted vegetables," the authors wrote. "It is essential to increase the consumption of fresh vegetables, fruit and dietary fiber at the same time."
Each winter, families and communities gather for gimjang, the traditional kimchi-making season, salting and seasoning cabbage in large batches to last through the cold months. Even as Korean kimchi gains global popularity, domestic consumption has been gradually declining, reflecting rising incomes and the steady westernization of diets.
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