Exit polls conducted by three major broadcasters—KBS, MBC, and SBS—indicate that the Democratic Party is poised for a significant victory in the local elections, leading in most regions across the country. The People Power Party is struggling even in its stronghold of Yeongnam, signaling a potential shift in the electoral landscape.
The exit polls show the Democratic Party leading in Seoul, Gyeonggi, Incheon, as well as Busan, Ulsan, and South Gyeongsang, with the party ahead in 14 out of 17 metropolitan areas. The only region where the People Power Party is leading is North Gyeongsang, while Daegu is showing a very close contest.
In the crucial Seoul mayoral race, Democratic candidate Jeong Won-o recorded 51.4%, leading People Power Party candidate Oh Se-hoon, who garnered 46.0%. This puts Oh's bid for a third term in jeopardy.
In the Gyeonggi gubernatorial race, Democratic candidate Choo Mi-ae achieved 60.4%, significantly ahead of Yang Hyang-ja, who received 34.1%. In Incheon, Park Chan-dae also led with 53.7%, defeating Yoo Jeong-bok, who secured 45.5%, confirming the Democratic Party's strength across the metropolitan area.
One of the biggest surprises in this election is in Busan, where Democratic candidate Jeon Jae-soo is projected to win with 50.2%, surpassing Park Hyung-jun, who received 48.3%. In Ulsan, Kim Sang-wook is leading with 52.8% against Kim Du-gyeom, who has 43.2%. In South Gyeongsang, Kim Kyung-soo is ahead with 54.3%, while Park Wan-soo trails with 45.7%.
In Daegu, considered the last bastion of conservative support in Yeongnam, the race is extremely tight. People Power Party candidate Choo Kyung-ho is at 49.9%, while Democratic candidate Kim Boo-kyum is close behind at 49.1%. In contrast, in North Gyeongsang, Lee Cheol-woo is leading with 69.7% over Oh Jung-ki, who has 30.3%.
The Democratic Party's dominance is also evident in the Chungcheong region. In Daejeon, Huh Tae-jung is leading with 55.9%, while in Sejong, Jo Sang-ho is at 64.3%. In South Chungcheong, Park Soo-hyun is slightly ahead with 52.1% against Kim Tae-heum's 47.9%, and in North Chungcheong, Shin Yong-han has 56.2%, leading Kim Young-hwan, who has 43.8%.
In the Honam region, the Democratic Party's advantage is overwhelming. In Gwangju, Min Hyung-bae has 78.6%, and in North Jeolla, Lee Won-taek is narrowly ahead with 48.5% over Kim Kwan-young, who has 46.3%. While the results for the South Jeolla gubernatorial race have not been announced, a strong Democratic trend is expected to continue.
In Gangwon, Woo Sang-ho is leading with 51.3% against Kim Jin-tae's 48.7%, and in Jeju, Wi Seong-gon has 62.2%, significantly ahead of Moon Seong-yu, who has 34.9%.
The by-elections for the National Assembly are also highly competitive. In Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi, Cho Kuk is at 31.1%, followed closely by Yoo Yi-dong at 30.6% and Kim Yong-nam at 30.3%, all within the margin of error. In Busan's Buk-gu Gap, Ha Jung-woo is leading with 42.6%, while Han Dong-hoon is at 41.6%, indicating a tight race.
If the exit poll results reflect the actual vote counts, the Democratic Party will secure a decisive victory in its first nationwide election since the inauguration of the Lee Jae-myung administration, gaining momentum for governance. Conversely, the People Power Party may face demands for leadership restructuring and party reform as its traditional support base in Yeongnam shows signs of instability.
However, in some areas like the Daegu mayoral race and the Pyeongtaek and Busan by-elections, the margins are very narrow, leaving the final outcomes uncertain.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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