Goldman Sachs has projected that SpaceX's artificial intelligence (AI) revenue will increase nearly 100-fold by 2030, ahead of the company's anticipated initial public offering (IPO) next week.
According to the Financial Times on June 4, Goldman Sachs, the lead underwriter for SpaceX's IPO, forecasts that the company's AI revenue will rise from $3.2 billion in 2025 to approximately $322 billion by 2030. The overall revenue for SpaceX is also expected to grow from $18.7 billion in 2025 to $474 billion in 2030.
These projections reflect the recent surge in aggressive AI investments by major tech companies. Goldman Sachs conveyed this information verbally to key investors during SpaceX's IPO roadshow, the Financial Times reported.
In February, SpaceX merged with xAI, an AI startup founded by Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla. The majority of the former xAI team is now part of SpaceX's AI division. According to SpaceX's investment prospectus, xAI recorded a loss of $6.4 billion last year but is expected to tap into a total addressable market (TAM) of $26.5 trillion in the future.
This marks a significant shift, as the TAM for SpaceX's original core business, the satellite internet service Starlink, was only projected at $2 trillion. Goldman Sachs estimates that Starlink's revenue will reach $144 billion by 2030, which would be less than half of the projected AI revenue. Additionally, the revenue from SpaceX's rocket division is expected to increase from $4.1 billion last year to $8.3 billion by 2030.
However, for SpaceX's AI division to achieve these ambitious targets, its proprietary AI model, Grok, must compete effectively with leading models from companies like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic. The Financial Times also noted that Musk has recently dismissed all ten co-founders of xAI due to performance issues, raising concerns about the rapid organizational changes.
SpaceX plans to finalize its offering price on June 11, with trading on the Nasdaq set to begin on June 12. The proposed share price is $135, which could allow SpaceX to raise $75 billion and achieve a valuation of $1.75 trillion.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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