Young couples who settle outside the capital region have higher rates of childbirth and homeownership compared to those who remain in the capital. However, the trend of concentration in the capital region continues among young people after marriage.
The National Data Agency released a comprehensive analysis on July 16, utilizing population dynamics panel statistics to examine changes in residence, employment, childbirth, and homeownership among young couples after marriage.
The study focused on first-time married men aged 32 and women aged 31, comparing the rates of childbirth and homeownership based on whether they moved after marriage over a three-year period.
The analysis found that those who did not change their residence after marriage had higher rates of childbirth and homeownership than those who did move. The cumulative childbirth rate over three years for non-movers was 69.3%, compared to 68.2% for movers.
Regionally, the childbirth rate for young people who remained outside the capital was higher than for those in the capital. The cumulative childbirth rate for non-movers in non-capital areas was 73.2%, exceeding the 65.3% rate for non-movers in the capital by 7.9 percentage points.
Homeownership rates followed a similar trend. Over three years, the homeownership rate for non-movers was 33.9%, compared to 27.5% for movers. Non-movers in non-capital areas had a homeownership rate of 37.5%, which was 7.2 percentage points higher than the 30.3% rate for non-movers in the capital.
Among those who moved, those relocating to non-capital areas also had relatively higher rates of childbirth and homeownership. The childbirth rate for young people moving from the capital to non-capital areas was 70.5%, higher than the 66.8% rate for those moving from non-capital to the capital. The homeownership rates were 24.3% and 23.6%, respectively, with non-capital movers slightly ahead.
Despite these trends, the concentration of young people in the capital region after marriage remains significant. The proportion of those living in the capital before marriage was 55.9%, which increased to 56.6% after marriage, a rise of 0.7 percentage points. Conversely, the proportion living outside the capital decreased from 44.1% to 43.4%.
Approximately 60% of young people moved their residence after marriage. Among those who relocated, 57.1% crossed municipal boundaries, with 61.6% moving to the capital and 38.4% to non-capital areas. The influx to the capital was 6.7%, higher than the 5.5% of those leaving the capital for non-capital areas.
In terms of employment, significant changes were noted in women's employment status after marriage. The proportion of women who were regular employees decreased from 79.9% before marriage to 65.6% after marriage, a drop of 14.3 percentage points. In contrast, men's employment increased slightly from 83.9% to 84.4% during the same period.
Notably, the proportion of regular employees among women moving from the capital to non-capital areas saw the largest decline, dropping by 27.1 percentage points after marriage. The National Data Agency analyzed that the movement of young people is closely linked to their employment activities.
The agency emphasized that this analysis is significant as it provides a comprehensive look at the relationship between regional mobility, settlement, employment, childbirth, and homeownership among young people. Based on these findings, the agency plans to provide microdata from the population dynamics panel statistics by the end of the year to support research on low birth rates and regional balanced development, and to analyze the processes of youth mobility and family formation in depth by linking new data on personal debt.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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