As the Chuseok holiday approaches, attention is focused on whether Typhoon 'Dujuan' will head toward South Korea.
Currently classified as a tropical depression over the sea south of Japan, it is expected to develop into a typhoon with maximum wind speeds of 39 meters per second (140 km/h) between September 19 and 20, raising concerns about its trajectory.
The key point for determining its path toward the Korean Peninsula is September 17.
According to the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), as of 3 a.m. on September 15, the tropical depression was moving north-northeast at a speed of 11 km/h, located about 850 km east of Guam.
The central pressure is 1002 hPa, with maximum wind speeds of 54 km/h at the center.
The KMA forecasts that this tropical depression will develop into Typhoon 'Dujuan' within 24 hours.
By 3 a.m. on September 16, it is expected to strengthen to maximum wind speeds of 76 km/h, and by September 17, it could reach 104 km/h.
On September 18, it is projected to enter the 'strong' category with wind speeds of 133 km/h, maintaining strong winds of 140 km/h on September 19 and 20.
The main concern is its direction of movement.
The KMA anticipates that the tropical depression will gradually shift from north-northeast to northwest and west-northwest.
By around 3 a.m. on September 18, it is expected to approach the sea southeast of Kagoshima, Japan, at a distance of 1610 km, moving to 1150 km on September 19 and 750 km on September 20.
This indicates that the center of the typhoon will pass over the sea south of Japan, maintaining a significant distance from the Korean Peninsula.
However, the trajectory could change depending on surrounding pressure systems and sea surface temperatures, so vigilance is necessary.
Even if indirectly affected by the typhoon, there is a possibility of strong winds and high waves, particularly along the southern coast and Jeju Island.
The name of this typhoon, 'Dujuan,' was submitted by China and means 'azalea.'
The KMA currently views it as a tropical depression but believes it is likely to develop into a typhoon within 24 hours.
Notably, the typhoon's strength is expected to significantly increase from September 17, making this period crucial for assessing its potential impact on the Korean Peninsula.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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