[Photo by Yonhap News]
South Korea's economy recorded the highest growth rate among major economies in the first quarter of this year. Driven by strong exports, the country achieved a surprising growth, but concerns about base effects and external uncertainties suggest that growth may slow in the second quarter.
According to the Bank of Korea's economic statistics system, South Korea's GDP growth rate for the first quarter was 1.694%, the highest among 22 countries that released preliminary figures as of the previous day.
Indonesia (1.367%) and China (1.3%) followed, but the gap between them and South Korea was significant. Only these three countries recorded growth rates above 1% for the first quarter.
Other major countries reported growth rates below 1%, including Finland (0.861%), Hungary (0.805%), Spain (0.614%), Estonia (0.581%), the United States (0.494%), Canada (0.4%), and Germany (0.334%). In contrast, France (-0.005%), Sweden (-0.21%), Lithuania (-0.444%), and Mexico (-0.8%) experienced negative growth, with Ireland showing a significant decline at -2.014%.
After a fourth-quarter growth rate of -0.161% last year, South Korea fell to 38th among 41 major countries included in the Bank of Korea's statistics. However, the country has seen a dramatic rebound in rankings this year. If South Korea maintains its position after other countries release their final figures, it will mark the first time since the first quarter of 2010 (2.343%) that it has ranked first in quarterly growth in nearly 16 years.
This unexpected growth in the first quarter was largely attributed to exports, particularly in the semiconductor sector. Exports surged by 5.1%, primarily driven by information technology (IT) products, contributing 1.1 percentage points to net exports. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix reported impressive results of 57.2 trillion won and 37.6 trillion won, respectively, helping to drive the economic rebound.
In light of the better-than-expected growth rate, both domestic and international institutions are adjusting their economic forecasts upward. The actual growth figure is nearly double the Bank of Korea's earlier forecast of 0.9% for the first quarter.
However, it remains uncertain whether this growth trend will continue into the second quarter. Due to the nature of quarter-over-quarter growth rates, there is a tendency for growth rates to slow after reaching a high base. The government stated on April 23 that "the base effect from the significant growth in the first quarter, combined with the intensifying impacts of the Middle East conflict, suggests that a correction in growth is likely in the second quarter."
According to the Bank of Korea's economic statistics system, South Korea's GDP growth rate for the first quarter was 1.694%, the highest among 22 countries that released preliminary figures as of the previous day.
Indonesia (1.367%) and China (1.3%) followed, but the gap between them and South Korea was significant. Only these three countries recorded growth rates above 1% for the first quarter.
Other major countries reported growth rates below 1%, including Finland (0.861%), Hungary (0.805%), Spain (0.614%), Estonia (0.581%), the United States (0.494%), Canada (0.4%), and Germany (0.334%). In contrast, France (-0.005%), Sweden (-0.21%), Lithuania (-0.444%), and Mexico (-0.8%) experienced negative growth, with Ireland showing a significant decline at -2.014%.
After a fourth-quarter growth rate of -0.161% last year, South Korea fell to 38th among 41 major countries included in the Bank of Korea's statistics. However, the country has seen a dramatic rebound in rankings this year. If South Korea maintains its position after other countries release their final figures, it will mark the first time since the first quarter of 2010 (2.343%) that it has ranked first in quarterly growth in nearly 16 years.
This unexpected growth in the first quarter was largely attributed to exports, particularly in the semiconductor sector. Exports surged by 5.1%, primarily driven by information technology (IT) products, contributing 1.1 percentage points to net exports. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix reported impressive results of 57.2 trillion won and 37.6 trillion won, respectively, helping to drive the economic rebound.
In light of the better-than-expected growth rate, both domestic and international institutions are adjusting their economic forecasts upward. The actual growth figure is nearly double the Bank of Korea's earlier forecast of 0.9% for the first quarter.
However, it remains uncertain whether this growth trend will continue into the second quarter. Due to the nature of quarter-over-quarter growth rates, there is a tendency for growth rates to slow after reaching a high base. The government stated on April 23 that "the base effect from the significant growth in the first quarter, combined with the intensifying impacts of the Middle East conflict, suggests that a correction in growth is likely in the second quarter."
* This article has been translated by AI.
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