Seoul may revive decades-old fuel price cap, but experts urge caution

by Lee Jung-woo Posted : March 10, 2026, 17:50Updated : March 10, 2026, 17:50
President Lee Jae Myung delivers remarks during a Cabinet meeting held at the Blue House on March 10 2026 Yonhap
President Lee Jae Myung delivers remarks during a Cabinet meeting held at the Blue House on March 10, 2026. Yonhap
SEOUL, March 10 (AJP) - South Korea is considering reviving a rarely used cap on retail gasoline prices as policymakers brace for a potential third wave of global oil shocks if the Middle East conflict drags on, though economists warn the government should move cautiously given the risks of distorting market prices.

President Lee Jae Myung on Tuesday instructed his cabinet to explore emergency measures to curb surging fuel costs, urging officials to move beyond “normal procedures and manuals” during crisis conditions and quickly prepare a workable price ceiling system.

Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol said the government aims to introduce a framework for a cap within the week.

The authority for such a measure comes from the Petroleum and Petroleum Substitute Fuel Business Act, introduced during the oil shocks of the 1970s. The law allows the finance minister to impose price ceilings or floors on petroleum products if prices fluctuate severely and threaten economic stability or daily life.

The provision, however, has not been used for nearly three decades since South Korea liberalized its fuel pricing system to enable market forces to determine retail prices.

The debate over reviving the mechanism comes as oil prices swing sharply amid the Middle East conflict. Domestic gasoline prices briefly rose above 2,000 won per liter over the weekend, reflecting the volatility in global crude markets.
 
This image is generated by NotebookLM
This image is generated by NotebookLM.
Economists warn against rushing intervention

Some economists say introducing a price cap too early could create unintended consequences.

Kim Jin-young, a professor of economics at Korea University, argued it is premature to adopt strong interventionist policies while the trajectory of the conflict remains uncertain.

“I believe there is a fairly high possibility that the war in Iran will not end soon,” Kim said.

“If the conflict becomes prolonged, oil prices could rise even further. But since the war has only just begun, we should focus on conserving supply and managing demand rather than immediately introducing this system.”
 
Smoke plumes billow from the site of airstrikes near Azadi Tower in western Tehran on March 10 2026 AFP-Yonhap
Smoke plumes billow from the site of airstrikes near Azadi Tower in western Tehran on March 10, 2026. AFP-Yonhap
Kim warned that price ceilings often impose hidden costs.

“A price ceiling introduces a different kind of price — not a monetary one,” he said.

“During the oil crisis in the United States, government price controls led to long lines at gas stations. In effect, the system imposes a higher cost on those who value their time.”

Others say a cap for temporary purpose could help prevent excessive price spikes and protect consumers during periods of extreme volatility.

Im Tobin, a professor at Seoul National University’s Graduate School of Public Administration, said the policy could serve as a corrective tool if market prices overshoot.

“When crude oil has already been imported and stored, raising retail prices immediately simply because war breaks out allows oil companies to earn excessive profits,” Im said.

“In that sense, the policy can help correct market distortions.”

He stressed that any price cap should be strictly temporary.

“The key is to shorten the duration of this system,” he said.
 
Cargo truck drivers are refueling at the gas station of Yongin Rest Area on the Yeongdong Expressway in Yongin Gyeonggi Province on March 10 2026 Yonhap
Cargo truck drivers are refueling at the gas station of Yongin Rest Area on the Yeongdong Expressway in Yongin, Gyeonggi Province, on March 10, 2026. Yonhap
Chang Yenjae, an economics professor at Soongsil University, also said the measure could help cushion the impact of surging energy costs.

“During periods of rapidly rising energy prices, a price ceiling can help protect the real purchasing power of low- and middle-income households and stabilize transportation costs,” Chang said.

However, Chang emphasized that price regulation alone cannot address structural energy challenges.

“It is essential to clearly define the temporary and conditional nature of the price ceiling,” he said. “Relying solely on price controls is not a fundamental solution to energy problems.”

Instead, he suggested improving fuel distribution systems and expanding fiscal support for vulnerable households as potentially more effective tools to manage the inflationary ripple effects of higher energy prices.