A recent poll indicates that the support gap between the Democratic Party and the People Power Party has narrowed. The Democratic Party's support dropped by 2.9 percentage points, while the People Power Party saw an increase of 2.6 percentage points. This shift suggests that some supporters of the Democratic Party may have shifted to the People Power Party.
According to a survey conducted by Realmeter on behalf of Energy Economy Newspaper from May 14 to 15, involving 1,003 eligible voters aged 18 and older (with a response rate of 3.7%), the Democratic Party received 45.8% support, while the People Power Party garnered 33.5%. The gap between the two parties decreased from 17.8 percentage points last week to 12.3 percentage points, a reduction of 5.5 percentage points.
Regionally, the Democratic Party experienced the largest decline in support in Gwangju and Jeolla, falling 14.3 percentage points to 57.2%. In Seoul, support dropped by 5.2 percentage points to 39.8%, and in Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong, it fell by 5.0 percentage points to 48.2%. Conversely, in Daegu and Gyeongbuk, support rose by 6.9 percentage points to 37.3%.
The People Power Party recorded a 7.4 percentage point increase in Gwangju and Jeolla, surpassing the 20% mark with 20.7%. In Seoul, support rose by 5.1 percentage points to 37.9%, and in Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong, it increased by 3.9 percentage points to 35.3%. However, in Daegu and Gyeongbuk, support decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 48.5%.
By age group, the Democratic Party had its highest support among those in their 50s at 59.9%. This was followed by 51.3% among those in their 60s, 45.3% among those in their 40s, 42.1% among those aged 70 and older, 37.9% among those in their 30s, and 21.0% among those aged 18 to 29. Notably, support among the 18 to 29 age group fell by 10.4 percentage points, marking the largest decline.
The People Power Party showed strength among those aged 70 and older and those aged 18 to 29, with support at 45.8% and 44.6%, respectively. Support among those in their 30s was 35.2%, 30.7% among those in their 60s, 25.9% among those in their 40s, and 22.9% among those in their 50s. Compared to the previous week, support among those in their 30s rose by 9.8 percentage points, and by 7.3 percentage points among those in their 40s.
In terms of ideological orientation, the Democratic Party received 79.2% support from the progressive group, 47.0% from the moderate group, and 18.8% from the conservative group. The People Power Party garnered 63.1% support from conservatives, 28.9% from moderates, and 8.0% from progressives.
Realmeter attributed the decline in support for the Democratic Party to comments regarding national dividends that sparked ideological controversy, leading to a loss of support among conservatives and moderates. Additionally, issues surrounding candidate nominations in the Gwangju and Jeolla regions and internal party divisions have exacerbated the loss of support.
Conversely, the People Power Party's rise in support is attributed to the resolution of conflicts over local election nominations and the launch of its central campaign committee, which has strengthened its appeal among conservative voters.
This party support survey was conducted using a 100% automated response method. The margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Committee's website.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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