Candidates for the Busan North Gap by-election: Ha Jung-woo of the Democratic Party, Park Min-sik of the People Power Party, and Han Dong-hoon, an independent candidate. [Photo=Yonhap News]
Following the confirmation of candidate numbers for the Busan North Gap by-election, political circles are closely watching the potential for a unification of conservative candidates. However, as of the first unification deadline on the 17th, a consolidation among conservative candidates remains unlikely.
According to the Election Commission on the 17th, the candidates for the June 3 by-election in Busan North Gap are Ha Jung-woo of the Democratic Party (number 1), Park Min-sik of the People Power Party (number 2), Kim Sung-keun (independent, number 5), and Han Dong-hoon (independent, number 6). Kim and Han received their numbers through a lottery.
With the candidate numbers now confirmed, attention is also turning to the possibility of a unified opposition. In the current three-way race, there are concerns that if conservative voters split their votes between Park and Han, Ha could win by default.
A recent poll conducted by Korea Gallup on May 12-13, which surveyed 508 voters in Busan North Gap, showed support rates of 39% for Ha, 21% for Park, and 29% for Han. The poll was conducted via random telephone interviews using virtual numbers, with a margin of error of ±4.3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level (for more details, refer to the Central Election Polling Review Committee's website).
Meanwhile, political analysts believe that any unification must occur before the printing of ballots begins on the 18th to maximize its impact. However, even if the first deadline is missed, there remains a possibility for dramatic unification until the 28th, as candidates can withdraw and have 'withdrawn' marked on early voting ballots.
According to the Election Commission on the 17th, the candidates for the June 3 by-election in Busan North Gap are Ha Jung-woo of the Democratic Party (number 1), Park Min-sik of the People Power Party (number 2), Kim Sung-keun (independent, number 5), and Han Dong-hoon (independent, number 6). Kim and Han received their numbers through a lottery.
With the candidate numbers now confirmed, attention is also turning to the possibility of a unified opposition. In the current three-way race, there are concerns that if conservative voters split their votes between Park and Han, Ha could win by default.
A recent poll conducted by Korea Gallup on May 12-13, which surveyed 508 voters in Busan North Gap, showed support rates of 39% for Ha, 21% for Park, and 29% for Han. The poll was conducted via random telephone interviews using virtual numbers, with a margin of error of ±4.3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level (for more details, refer to the Central Election Polling Review Committee's website).
Meanwhile, political analysts believe that any unification must occur before the printing of ballots begins on the 18th to maximize its impact. However, even if the first deadline is missed, there remains a possibility for dramatic unification until the 28th, as candidates can withdraw and have 'withdrawn' marked on early voting ballots.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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