◆아주경제 주요뉴스
▷단일종목 레버리지 거래 급감에도 정부, '긴급조치권' 확대 속도
- Following a significant decline in trading of single-stock leverage products due to new regulations, the government is moving to expand its emergency measures, allowing for direct adjustments to financial investment products in times of market crisis.
- According to financial authorities on the 30th, the Financial Services Commission is considering amending the Capital Markets Act to enable changes to the structure or conditions of financial investment products, including single-stock leverage, in situations requiring market stabilization and investor protection.
- If financial investment products are included under the emergency measures, it will allow for rapid adjustments to key product conditions based on market circumstances.
- Since the implementation of the regulations, individual investors have sold a net 1.7731 trillion won worth of single-stock leverage and inverse ETFs for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, significantly reducing investment volume.
- In the two months prior to the regulations, the same products saw a net purchase of 15.2876 trillion won, but within a month of the regulations taking effect, there was a large-scale net sell-off, reversing the supply-demand direction.
- The average daily trading volume also plummeted from 11.6787 trillion won before the regulations to just 1.0059 trillion won this month, a decrease of more than 90%. Financial authorities are gradually tightening regulations, including raising basic deposit requirements, mandating simulated trading, and limiting trading units.
- While the supply and volatility concentrated on specific semiconductor stocks have stabilized due to the regulations, a balloon effect has emerged as investment funds shift to other leveraged products or overseas markets, highlighting the need for expanded emergency measures.
◆주요 리포트
▷무엇이 환율을 흔들었나…시선은 수급에서 펀더멘탈로 [LS증권]
- The won-dollar exchange rate has experienced increased volatility due to short-term supply and demand factors, but fundamentals suggest stronger downward pressure in the future.
- Following two consecutive interest rate hikes by the Bank of Korea, the growth forecast for this year has been raised from 2.6% to 3.3%, and next year's forecast from 2.1% to 2.9%, contributing to a stronger won.
- Analysts suggest that the dollar has entered a long-term weakening phase due to U.S. fiscal deficits, uncertainties in Treasury bonds, slowing growth momentum, and increased yuan-denominated transactions. However, geopolitical risks and short-term demand for dollar transactions related to AI are expected to limit immediate declines in the dollar.
- Foreign net selling of domestic stocks in the first half of the year has contributed to the rise in the won-dollar exchange rate, but if the stock price volatility of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix stabilizes, the likelihood of a sharp resurgence in foreign net selling is low.
- The demand for foreign currency exchange by export companies, driven by SK Hynix's ADR funding and increased domestic investment, is also expected to contribute to a stronger won.
- The year-end won-dollar exchange rate is projected to range between 1,346 and 1,452 won, with the dollar index expected to be between 96 and 101 points, indicating a downward trend compared to the past.
◆장 마감 후(28일) 주요공시
▷한화엔진 : 한화오션과 1289억3658만3600원 규모 선박용 엔진 공급 계약 체결
▷동아쏘시오홀딩스 : 글로벌 제약사와 136억5860만원 규모 의약품 위탁생산 계약 체결
▷대우건설 : 한국서부발전주식회사와 2096억5752만8000원 규모 공주 천연가스발전소 주기기 및 부속설비 구매 계약 체결
▷삼성중공업 : 전국재해구호협회에 2억원 출연
▷삼성바이오로직스 : 시설자금 조달 위해 2947억7645만3897원 주주배정후 실권주 일반공모 유상증자 결정
◆펀드 동향(27일 기준, ETF 제외)
▷국내 주식형: -474억원
▷해외 주식형: +18억원
◆오늘(31일) 주요일정
▷미국: 시카고 연은지수(8월), 댈러스 연은지수(8월)
▷중국: 제조업, 서비스업 PMI(8월)
▷일본: 산업생산(7월), 소매판매(7월)
▷독일: 소비자물가지수(8월)
* This article has been translated by AI.
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