As the official campaign for the June 3 local elections kicks off, Jung Won-oh of the Democratic Party and Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party are locked in a tight race within the margin of error.
A poll conducted by Ace Research, commissioned by Newsis, surveyed 1,002 adults aged 18 and older living in Seoul from May 19 to 20. The results showed Jung with a support rate of 41.7% and Oh with 41.6%.
Other candidates included Kwon Young-guk of the Justice Party at 2.1%, Kim Jeong-cheol of the Reform Party at 2.0%, Yu Ji-hye of the Women’s Party at 1.9%, and Lee Kang-san of the Liberty Unification Party at 1.6%. Those who indicated they had no preferred candidate accounted for 5.8%, while 3.4% were unsure, leading to a total of 9.2% undecided voters.
Among those who expressed a strong intention to vote, Jung led with 49.8%, compared to Oh's 42.4%. Following them were Kwon at 1.9%, Yu at 1.6%, Kim at 1.3%, and Lee at 0.6%.
When asked which candidate they believed had the highest chance of winning, Jung received 46.2% support, significantly ahead of Oh's 41.4%.
Regionally, Jung garnered 44.6% support in the northern districts of Gangbuk, which include Dobong, Gangbuk, Nowon, Seongbuk, Dongdaemun, Jungnang, Seongdong, and Gwangjin. Oh, on the other hand, achieved 51.8% support in the southern districts of Gangnam, which encompass Seocho, Gangnam, Songpa, and Gangdong.
The survey utilized a wireless virtual number method provided by the three major telecommunications companies, with a response rate of 5.5%. The margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the website of the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
* This article has been translated by AI.
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